Could a Big Comeback Be on the Cards for XRP?

XRP has been languishing in a persistent decline over the last eight months. However, fresh technical and on-chain metrics suggest a significant recovery might be imminent. The XRP/BTC ratio is showing patterns reminiscent of past major market lows, sparking optimism among market watchers.

Are Historic RSI Levels Signaling a Rally?

XRP’s relative strength index (RSI) with Bitcoin has hit 24 on daily charts, marking its most oversold status since October 2025. Historically, such low RSI values coincide with major price troughs followed by substantial rallies. This has been the pattern before, with XRP’s value against Bitcoin previously shooting up by as much as 345%, hinting at a pivotal rally point.

For example, back in June 2025, an RSI-triggered movement propelled the XRP/BTC ratio upward by 61%, causing XRP’s price to escalate by 92%, meeting a multi-year peak. Current observations support the reliability of these indicators as markers of market lows, attracting attention to this potential turning point.

What Do MVRV Metrics Suggest About XRP’s Future?

On-chain indicators offer intriguing insights as well. The MVRV Z-score, which compares market value to realized value, hovers around zero, implying many are holding XRP around their initial investment. This reflects a reduction in selling pressure and a potential market bottom.

During 2021, 2022, and 2024, similar MVRV Z-scores often led to significant price hikes. At the end of 2024, XRP embarked on a dramatic rise from $0.30, blasting past $3, gaining over 500% due to this metric.

Data indicates that the $0.80-$1.14 range represents a historic low zone, coinciding with XRP’s February low—its lowest in 15 months.

These insights imply that XRP might be undervalued, with potential for recovery. Should this bullish trend materialize, experts say XRP could aim for $1.70.

The crucial support range lies between $1.25 and $1.30. Maintaining above this band could spark another upward move. Roughly 1.73 billion XRP tokens shifted within this zone highlight its significance as a cost base for investors, underscoring its support role.

A drop below $1.15, however, might magnify downside risks, potentially pushing XRP back toward $0.80 from a technical standpoint.

• In shock news, XRP’s RSI plummets to 24 after an eight-month decline.
• Historic market bottom signals from XRP/BTC offer hope for a substantial recovery.
• Attention is riveted on MVRV and key support levels for confirmation.
• A dip below $1.15 might trigger a significant further drop.