We asked AI if Bitcoin price has peaked; Here’s what it said

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With Bitcoin (BTC) currently witnessing increased bearish sentiments, an AI model has suggested that the asset has likely peaked and investors should expect a possible further downturn in the coming days.

Notably, after Bitcoin briefly dropped below the $90,000 spot, the asset has since made a minor recovery but remains deeply in bearish territory. By press time, Bitcoin was valued at $91,527, up 0.2% in the past 24 hours, while on the weekly timeline, the leading cryptocurrency has crashed almost 13%.

Bitcoin seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold

Regarding whether the asset has peaked, Finbold turned to OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which noted that the asset may indeed have formed a medium-term peak.

Has Bitcoin peaked?

According to insights, Bitcoin’s recent breakdown below major support levels such as $100,000, combined with increased selling from long-term holders and tighter macroeconomic conditions, suggests the market has entered a corrective phase. 

The model argued that the recent high at $126,000 likely marked a top, with several probable price zones now defining the path ahead.

ChatGPT’s primary scenario projects Bitcoin correcting to $72,000 and $85,000, a range it assigns a 65% probability. The AI noted this zone sits just below the $90,000 liquidity pocket and matches past mid-cycle pullbacks where buyers typically return, effectively a “normal correction zone” following a strong local peak.

ChatGPT’s secondary scenario forecasts a deeper correction into the $58,000–$68,000 range, with a 25% probability. This becomes more likely if macro conditions tighten, long-term holders increase selling, ETF outflows grow, or Bitcoin fails to reclaim $90,000 for several weeks. The range aligns with the 2025 macro base and reflects a typical 30%–40% retracement from the $126,000 peak.

The AI model also highlighted a low-probability, high-risk scenario of a capitulation drop to $45,000–$52,000, with a 10% chance. This would require a major liquidity shock, rapid leverage unwind, or intense miner and ETF pressure, resembling the deepest corrections of previous Bitcoin cycles.

Probability of Bitcoin crashing. Source: ChatGPT

Final verdict 

In its final assessment, ChatGPT concluded that Bitcoin has likely peaked for the year, at least over the coming months. 

Although the long-term uptrend remains, short-term risks lean strongly bearish, making a retest of recent highs unlikely unless macro conditions turn sharply more favorable.

Featured image via Shutterstock

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